Economics

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CPI inflation above 3% in November?

41% chance

$485,083 vol · Closes Dec 12, 2026 · View market

4.3% 34% Yes 35¢No 67¢

4.4% 29% Yes 30¢No 72¢

4.2% or lower 21% Yes 22¢No 80¢

4.5% or higher 16% Yes 17¢No 85¢

$443,981 vol · Closes Dec 5, 2026 · View market

Cut 25bps 61% Yes 63¢No 39¢

Hold 32% Yes 34¢No 68¢

Hike 25bps 4% Yes 5¢No 97¢

Cut 50bps+ 3% Yes 4¢No 98¢

$15 vol · Closes Dec 14, 2026 · View market

Above $7.2000 54% Yes No

Above $5.9000 29% Yes No

Above $6.0000 — Yes No

$10 vol +11 more · Closes Nov 30, 2026

Above 2.75% 99% Yes No

Above 3.00% 99% Yes No

Above 3.25% 99% Yes No

$0 vol +8 more · Closes Dec 9, 2026