Economics · Fed

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

$0 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Above 2.75%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 2.75% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 3.00%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.00% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 3.25%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.25% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 3.50%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.50% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 3.75%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.75% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 4.00%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.00% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 4.25%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.25% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 4.50%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.50% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 4.75%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.75% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 5.00%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 5.00% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 5.25%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 5.25% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Dec 9, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-07 13:45:16 UTC
  • Event starts
    2025-08-06 14:30:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2026-12-09 18:55:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

On Dec 9, 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXFED-26DEC) and then move with trading here.