Economics · Fed
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
Order book
Rules
Above 2.75%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 2.75% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 3.00%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.00% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 3.25%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.25% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 3.50%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.50% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 3.75%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.75% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.00%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.00% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.25%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.25% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.50%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.50% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.75%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.75% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 5.00%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 5.00% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 5.25%: If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 5.25% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Dec 9, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-07 13:45:16 UTC
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Event starts2025-08-06 14:30:00 UTC
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Market closes2026-12-09 18:55:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
On Dec 9, 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXFED-26DEC) and then move with trading here.
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
