Climate · Temperature
Hottest year on record in 2026?
Order book
Rules
Resolves to Yes if the official annual global temperature report ranks 2026 as the warmest year on record.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-04 17:32:00 UTC
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Event starts2026-11-04 17:32:00 UTC
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Market closes2027-01-13 17:32:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Whether 2026 global average surface temperature exceeds every previous year on record.
Hottest year on record in 2026?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.