Tech & Science · Space
Crewed Moon landing before 2028?
Order book
Rules
Resolves to Yes if a crewed spacecraft lands on the Moon before 12:00 AM UTC on January 1, 2028, as confirmed by the operating agency.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-04 17:32:01 UTC
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Event starts2026-11-04 17:32:01 UTC
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Market closes2027-12-09 17:32:01 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Whether astronauts land on the lunar surface before January 1, 2028.
Crewed Moon landing before 2028?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
