Tech & Science · AI
Best AI model at year end?
Order book
Rules
The option for the lab whose model ranks #1 on the leaderboard snapshot at 11:59 PM ET on December 31 resolves to Yes.
Timeline
-
Market opened2026-11-04 17:32:01 UTC
-
Event starts2026-11-04 17:32:01 UTC
-
Market closes2026-12-31 17:32:01 UTC
-
PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Which lab holds the top spot on the public model leaderboard on December 31.
Best AI model at year end?
—
New here? Create an account
Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
