Politics · SCOTUS & Courts
Will SCOTUS let the Labor Department impose H-2A monetary remedies through agency proceedings?
Order book
Rules
If the Supreme Court, in Department of Labor v. Sun Valley Orchards, LLC, rules federal law authorizes the Department of Labor to adjudicate proceedings imposing monetary remedies for violations of H-2A employment conditions and that Article III permits those agency adjudications, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that 8 U.S.C. § 1188(g)(2) authorizes the Department of Labor to adjudicate proceedings to collect monetary remedies from employers alleged to have violated the terms and conditions of employment of H-2A workers or domestic workers in corresponding employment, and that Article III does not preclude the Department from conducting those adjudications, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court rules either that § 1188(g)(2) does not authorize such adjudications or that Article III precludes them. If the case is dismissed, found improvidently granted, or remanded without a merits ruling establishing both statutory authorization and constitutional permissibility, the market resolves to No.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 20:19:31 UTC
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Event starts2026-07-24 00:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2028-08-01 14:00:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Aug 1, 2028 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXSCOTUSCASE-DOLSUN28) and then move with trading here.
Will SCOTUS let the Labor Department impose H-2A monetary remedies through agency proceedings?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
