Politics · Trump

How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?

$63,234 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Below 300: If the President signs below 300 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes. Between 300 and 349: If the President signs between 300 and 349 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes. Between 350 and 399: If the President signs between 350 and 399 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes. Between 400 and 449: If the President signs between 400 and 449 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes. Between 450 and 499: If the President signs between 450 and 499 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes. Between 500 and 549: If the President signs between 500 and 549 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes. Between 550 and 599: If the President signs between 550 and 599 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes. Between 600 and 649: If the President signs between 600 and 649 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes. Between 650 and 699: If the President signs between 650 and 699 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes. Between 700 and 749: If the President signs between 700 and 749 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes. Between 750 and 800: If the President signs between 750 and 800 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 800: If the President signs above 800 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes. An Executive Order must be formally titled "Executive Order" followed by a number, signed by the President, and published in the Federal Register. Presidential Memoranda, Proclamations, Determinations, and other executive actions that are not formally numbered Executive Orders do not count. The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to, using ET timezone. Classified Executive Orders count if acknowledged by number. Executive Orders that are later revoked still count for the period they were signed. The Federal Register is the primary source; alternative sources are used only if the Federal Register explicitly states data is incomplete.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 20:22:21 UTC
  • Event starts
    2025-09-24 14:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2029-01-21 04:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

Trump's second term Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXEOTRUMPTERM-29JAN20) and then move with trading here.