Politics · Trump
How many House Republicans will vote to impeach Trump?
Order book
Rules
At least 1: If the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote to impeach Donald Trump is at least 1 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 2: If the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote to impeach Donald Trump is at least 2 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 3: If the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote to impeach Donald Trump is at least 3 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 5: If the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote to impeach Donald Trump is at least 5 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 10: If the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote to impeach Donald Trump is at least 10 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
The first vote that counts is the first recorded House vote in which the House adopts a resolution or an article of impeachment against Donald Trump. If the articles are voted on separately, the vote on the first article adopted counts.
Only Yea votes by Representatives listed as Republicans in the Clerk of the House's roll call for that vote count.
Does NOT count:
A vote on a motion to table, refer, postpone or otherwise dispose of an impeachment resolution
A vote on a resolution or article that the House does not adopt
A committee vote
Donald Trump must be in office as President when the article is adopted. If the House does not adopt an article of impeachment against him during that period, the number is zero.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 20:22:49 UTC
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Event starts2026-11-05 03:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2029-01-21 13:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Jan 20, 2029 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXGOPIMPEACHVOTES-29JAN20) and then move with trading here.
How many House Republicans will vote to impeach Trump?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
