Politics · Trump

How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

$403,786 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Below 37%: If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 37%, then the market resolves to Yes. Below 36%: If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 36%, then the market resolves to Yes. Below 35.5%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 35.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Below 35%: If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 35%, then the market resolves to Yes. Below 34.5%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 34.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Below 34%: If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 34%, then the market resolves to Yes. Below 33.5%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 33.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Below 33%: If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 33%, then the market resolves to Yes. In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 20:23:53 UTC
  • Event starts
    2025-12-11 15:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2027-01-07 12:00:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31) and then move with trading here.