Politics · Trump

How low will Trump's approval rating get during his term?

$1,341 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Below 36%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 36%, then the market resolves to Yes. Below 35%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 35%, then the market resolves to Yes. Below 34%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 34%, then the market resolves to Yes. Below 33%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 33%, then the market resolves to Yes. Below 32%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 32%, then the market resolves to Yes. Below 31%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 31%, then the market resolves to Yes. Below 30%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 30%, then the market resolves to Yes. In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 20:23:57 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-10-15 15:05:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2029-01-27 15:00:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

Jan 2025 to Jan 2029 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-29JAN20) and then move with trading here.