Politics · Trump
How low will Trump's approval rating get during his term?
Order book
Rules
Below 36%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 36%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Below 35%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 35%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Below 34%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 34%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Below 33%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 33%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Below 32%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 32%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Below 31%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 31%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Below 30%: If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 30%, then the market resolves to Yes.
In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 20:23:57 UTC
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Event starts2026-10-15 15:05:00 UTC
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Market closes2029-01-27 15:00:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Jan 2025 to Jan 2029 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-29JAN20) and then move with trading here.
How low will Trump's approval rating get during his term?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
