Politics · Trump
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
Order book
Rules
Above $1M: If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $5M: If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 5000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $10M: If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 10000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $50M: If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 50 million for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $100M: If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 100000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $500M: If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 500 million for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $1B: If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $2B: If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 2000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $4B: If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 4000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $6B: If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 6000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 20:25:10 UTC
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Event starts2026-05-04 21:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2027-01-01 14:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
for fiscal year 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30) and then move with trading here.
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
