Politics · Trump
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
Order book
Rules
Before Jan 1, 2027: If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Apr 1, 2027: If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Jul 1, 2027: If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Oct 1, 2027: If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Jan 1, 2028: If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Jan 20, 2029: If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The cabinet is defined as the following: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, and White House Chief of Staff.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 20:25:23 UTC
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Event starts2025-12-12 15:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2029-01-20 15:00:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Jan 20, 2029 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXIMPEACHCABINET) and then move with trading here.
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
