Politics · Trump
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?
Order book
Rules
At least 7 days: If the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves is at least 7 days before they leave the role or their departure is announced, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 14 days: If the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves is at least 14 days before they leave the role or their departure is announced, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 30 days: If the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves is at least 30 days before they leave the role or their departure is announced, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 60 days: If the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves is at least 60 days before they leave the role or their departure is announced, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 100 days: If the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves is at least 100 days before they leave the role or their departure is announced, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 180 days: If the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves is at least 180 days before they leave the role or their departure is announced, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 365 days: If the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves is at least 365 days before they leave the role or their departure is announced, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 730 days: If the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves is at least 730 days before they leave the role or their departure is announced, then the market resolves to Yes.
The next Press Secretary is the first person, after Issuance, to formally hold the position of White House Press Secretary, as formally designated by the White House. Acting and interim Press Secretaries do not count, and time served in an acting or interim capacity is not counted.
The count starts on the first day they serve as White House Press Secretary in a non-acting capacity. That can be the day they are named, if they take up the role that day, but never earlier. If no first day is reported, it is the earlier of their first White House briefing as Press Secretary and the first day the White House publicly identifies them as Press Secretary.
The count ends on whichever of these comes first:
The day they leave the role for any reason, including resignation, removal or moving to another role in which they no longer hold the title of White House Press Secretary
The day the President, the White House or the Press Secretary says publicly that they are leaving or have been removed, including by naming someone else to replace them, or a Source Agency first reports this citing a White House or administration official
A statement that they may leave, should reconsider or are under review does not end the count. A Press Secretary still serving when Trump's term ends on Jan 20, 2029 leaves the role that day.
The number of days is the number of calendar days (Eastern Time) from the first day to the end day. A Press Secretary whose first day is Nov 1, 2026 and whose departure is announced on Nov 11, 2026 has served 10 days. The Exchange computes the count from the first day and end day as defined here; a tenure length stated in reporting does not determine the count. If no new Press Secretary begins serving before Jan 20, 2029, the number of days is zero.
Timeline
-
Market opened2026-11-10 20:25:44 UTC
-
Event starts2026-10-16 20:05:00 UTC
-
Market closes2029-01-21 13:59:00 UTC
-
PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Jan 20, 2029 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXPRESSSECTENURE-29JAN20) and then move with trading here.
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?
—
New here? Create an account
Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
