Politics · Trump

How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?

$17,770 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

At least 1: If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 1 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. At least 2: If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 2 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. At least 3: If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 3 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. At least 4: If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 4 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. An impeachment is the House of Representatives adopting a resolution that impeaches Donald Trump, however many articles of impeachment it contains. Each such resolution counts once. Does NOT count: A resolution that is tabled, referred to committee, or otherwise not adopted An article of impeachment that is introduced or approved by a committee but not adopted by the House Donald Trump must be in office as President when the resolution is adopted.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 20:26:56 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-10-06 02:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2029-01-21 13:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

Before Jan 20, 2029 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXTRUMPIMPEACHCOUNT-29JAN20) and then move with trading here.