Politics · Trump
How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
Order book
Rules
At least 1: If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 1 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 2: If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 2 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 3: If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 3 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 4: If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 4 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
An impeachment is the House of Representatives adopting a resolution that impeaches Donald Trump, however many articles of impeachment it contains. Each such resolution counts once.
Does NOT count:
A resolution that is tabled, referred to committee, or otherwise not adopted
An article of impeachment that is introduced or approved by a committee but not adopted by the House
Donald Trump must be in office as President when the resolution is adopted.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 20:26:56 UTC
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Event starts2026-10-06 02:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2029-01-21 13:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Jan 20, 2029 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXTRUMPIMPEACHCOUNT-29JAN20) and then move with trading here.
How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
