Economics · Fed

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in November

$576 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Above -0.62: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above -0.62, then the market resolves to Yes. Above -0.60: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above -0.60, then the market resolves to Yes. Above -0.58: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above -0.58, then the market resolves to Yes. Above -0.56: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above -0.56, then the market resolves to Yes. Above -0.54: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above -0.54, then the market resolves to Yes. Above -0.52: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above -0.52, then the market resolves to Yes. Above -0.50: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above -0.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Above -0.48: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above -0.48, then the market resolves to Yes. Above -0.46: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above -0.46, then the market resolves to Yes. Above -0.44: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above -0.44, then the market resolves to Yes. The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (“NFCI”) refers to the headline NFCI published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index (“ANFCI”) or any individual component or contribution to the NFCI. This market will resolve using the NFCI value for the week ending November 20, 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago update that reports that week. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 21:43:22 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-10-28 12:30:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2026-11-25 13:29:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

the week ending November 20, 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXNFCI-26NOV25) and then move with trading here.