Economics · Fed
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in November
Order book
Rules
Above -0.62: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above
-0.62, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above -0.60: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above
-0.60, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above -0.58: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above
-0.58, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above -0.56: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above
-0.56, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above -0.54: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above
-0.54, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above -0.52: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above
-0.52, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above -0.50: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above
-0.50, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above -0.48: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above
-0.48, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above -0.46: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above
-0.46, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above -0.44: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above
-0.44, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (“NFCI”) refers to the headline NFCI published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index (“ANFCI”) or any individual component or contribution to the NFCI.
This market will resolve using the NFCI value for the week ending November 20, 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago update that reports that week. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 21:43:22 UTC
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Event starts2026-10-28 12:30:00 UTC
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Market closes2026-11-25 13:29:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
the week ending November 20, 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXNFCI-26NOV25) and then move with trading here.
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in November
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
