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Economics · Fed

Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026

$26,208 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Above 3.50%: If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 3.75%: If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 4.00%: If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 4.25%: If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 4.50%: If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 is above 4.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 21:43:28 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-10-01 16:40:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2027-01-04 13:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

December 31, 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXEFFR-27JAN04) and then move with trading here.