How many government employees will Trump cut?

More than 100,000: If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. More than 150,000: If there are more than 150000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. More than 200,000: If there are more than 200000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. More than 250,000: If there are more than 250000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. More than 300,000: If there are more than 300000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. More than 350,000: If there are more than 350000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. At the time of issuance, 2.738 Million Federal Employees are reported for the December 2025 figure.