Economics · Fed
Next Fed rate hike?
Order book
Rules
Before 2027: If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before July 2027: If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before 2028: If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before July 2028: If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Jun 30, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before 2029: If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 21:44:13 UTC
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Event starts2026-09-16 20:30:00 UTC
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Market closes2029-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Fed rate hike Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXFEDHIKE-2) and then move with trading here.
Next Fed rate hike?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
