Economics · Fed

Next Fed rate hike?

$297,285 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Before 2027: If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Before July 2027: If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Before 2028: If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Before July 2028: If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Jun 30, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Before 2029: If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 21:44:13 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-09-16 20:30:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2029-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

Fed rate hike Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXFEDHIKE-2) and then move with trading here.