Economics · Fed

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

$234,568 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Exactly 0: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 1: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 2: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 3: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 3, then the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 4: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 5: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 6: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 6, then the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 7: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 7, then the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 8: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 8, then the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 9: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 9, then the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 10: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 10, then the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 11: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 11, then the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 12: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 12, then the market resolves to Yes. A ‘rate change’ means a single decision that changes the target range, regardless of size (e.g., a 50 bp hike counts as one). A later 50 bp cut counts as an additional rate change.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 21:44:15 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-02-26 15:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

Before 2027 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXFEDCHGCOUNT-27JAN01) and then move with trading here.