Economics · Fed

Total Fed dissents in 2026

$3,967 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Exactly 7: If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, inclusive, in ET is exactly 7, the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 8: If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, inclusive, in ET is exactly 8, the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 9: If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, inclusive, in ET is exactly 9, the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 10: If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, inclusive, in ET is exactly 10, the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 11: If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, inclusive, in ET is exactly 11, the market resolves to Yes. Exactly 12: If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, inclusive, in ET is exactly 12, the market resolves to Yes. 13+: If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, inclusive, in ET is at least 13, the market resolves to Yes. Counts all qualifying votes cast January 1–December 31, 2026, inclusive, in ET, including votes cast before listing. Through September 25, 2026, official Fed statements record 7 qualifying dissents (January 2, March 1, April 1, June 0, July 3, September 0). April’s three additional dissents concerned statement language alone and are excluded. Qualifying dissents at unscheduled or emergency FOMC meetings count. Dissents concerning statement language alone do not count.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 21:44:15 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-09-25 17:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXFEDDISSENTYEAR-26) and then move with trading here.