Log in Sign up
Economics · GDP

Will Trump bring back manufacturing?

$28,184 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 21:45:39 UTC
  • Event starts
    2025-06-05 18:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2029-06-30 03:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

In Q4 2028 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXGDPSHAREMANU-29) and then move with trading here.