Economics · GDP

China Nominal GDP in 2026

$10,639 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Above $19.2 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $19.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $19.4 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $19.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $19.6 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $19.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $19.8 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $19.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $20.0 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $20.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $20.2 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $20.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $20.4 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $20.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $20.6 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $20.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $20.8 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $20.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $21.0 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $21.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $21.2 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $21.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $21.4 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $21.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $21.6 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $21.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $21.8 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $21.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $22.0 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $22.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $22.2 trillion: If China Nominal GDP is above $22.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. 9/25/26 clarification: This market resolves using the World Bank’s first non-preliminary release of China Nominal GDP for calendar year 2026, expressed in current US dollars. Trading Economics is a backup source for the same figure. Forecasts and subsequent revisions are excluded; no separate currency conversion is performed.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 21:45:48 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-02-05 15:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2027-04-01 15:00:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

China 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXGDPNOM-CHN26) and then move with trading here.