Economics · GDP

US Nominal GDP in 2026

$40,138 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Above $29.0 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $29.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $29.2 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $29.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $29.4 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $29.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $29.6 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $29.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $29.8 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is Above $29.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $30.0 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $30.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $30.2 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $30.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $30.4 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $30.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $30.6 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $30.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $30.8 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $30.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $31.0 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $31.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $31.2 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $31.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $31.4 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $31.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $31.6 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $31.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $31.8 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $31.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $32.0 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $32.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $32.2 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $32.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $32.4 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $32.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $32.6 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $32.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $32.8 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $32.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above $33.0 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $33.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. 9/25/26 clarification: This market resolves using the World Bank’s first non-preliminary release of US Nominal GDP for calendar year 2026, expressed in current US dollars. Trading Economics is a backup source for the same figure. Forecasts and subsequent revisions are excluded; no separate currency conversion is performed.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 21:45:53 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-02-04 15:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2027-04-01 15:00:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

United States 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXGDPNOM-US26) and then move with trading here.