Economics · GDP
US Nominal GDP in 2026
Order book
Rules
Above $29.0 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $29.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $29.2 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $29.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $29.4 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $29.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $29.6 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $29.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $29.8 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is Above $29.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $30.0 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $30.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $30.2 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $30.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $30.4 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $30.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $30.6 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $30.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $30.8 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $30.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $31.0 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $31.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $31.2 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $31.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $31.4 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $31.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $31.6 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $31.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $31.8 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $31.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $32.0 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $32.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $32.2 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $32.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $32.4 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $32.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $32.6 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $32.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $32.8 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $32.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above $33.0 trillion: If US Nominal GDP is above $33.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
9/25/26 clarification: This market resolves using the World Bank’s first non-preliminary release of US Nominal GDP for calendar year 2026, expressed in current US dollars. Trading Economics is a backup source for the same figure. Forecasts and subsequent revisions are excluded; no separate currency conversion is performed.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 21:45:53 UTC
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Event starts2026-02-04 15:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2027-04-01 15:00:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
United States 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXGDPNOM-US26) and then move with trading here.
US Nominal GDP in 2026
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
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