Economics · GDP
US share of global GDP in 2026
Order book
Rules
Above 25.1%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 25.2%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 25.3%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 25.4%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 25.5%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 25.6%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 25.7%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 25.8%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 25.9%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 26.0%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 26.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 26.1%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 26.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.
The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP
“United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.
Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 21:46:31 UTC
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Event starts2026-07-27 14:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2027-07-01 03:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXUSGDPSHARE-27JUL01) and then move with trading here.
US share of global GDP in 2026
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
