Economics · GDP

US share of global GDP in 2026

$65,879 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Above 25.1%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 25.2%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 25.3%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.3%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 25.4%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 25.5%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 25.6%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 25.7%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.7%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 25.8%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 25.9%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.9%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 26.0%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 26.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 26.1%: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 26.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators. The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP “United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively. Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 21:46:31 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-07-27 14:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2027-07-01 03:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXUSGDPSHARE-27JUL01) and then move with trading here.