Economics · Inflation
CPI YoY in December
Order book
Rules
Above 3.0%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 3.1%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.1% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 3.2%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.2% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 3.3%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.3% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 3.4%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 3.5%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.5% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 3.6%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.6% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 3.7%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.7% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 3.8%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.8% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 3.9%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.9% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.0%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.0% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.1%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.1% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.2%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.2% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.3%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.3% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.4%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.4% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.5%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.5% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.6%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.6% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.7%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.7% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.8%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.8% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 4.9%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.9% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 5.0%: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 5.0% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 21:47:56 UTC
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Event starts2026-09-17 16:30:00 UTC
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Market closes2027-01-13 13:29:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
In Dec 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXCPIYOY-26DEC) and then move with trading here.
CPI YoY in December
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
