Economics · Inflation

How high will inflation get this year?

$604,416 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

At least 4.5%: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. At least 5.0%: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. At least 5.5%: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. At least 6.0%: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. At least 6.5%: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. At least 7.0%: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 7.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 21:48:23 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-01-15 15:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2027-02-14 13:29:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

In 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXLCPIMAXYOY-27) and then move with trading here.