Economics · Inflation
How high will inflation get this year?
Order book
Rules
At least 4.5%: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 5.0%: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 5.5%: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 6.0%: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 6.5%: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 7.0%: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 7.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 21:48:23 UTC
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Event starts2026-01-15 15:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2027-02-14 13:29:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
In 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXLCPIMAXYOY-27) and then move with trading here.
How high will inflation get this year?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
