Economics · Jobs
US jobs revisions in the report covering November 2026
Order book
Rules
Above -100,000: If the U.S. two-month net payroll revision published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ initial Employment Situation report covering November 2026 is above -100,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above -50,000: If the U.S. two-month net payroll revision published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ initial Employment Situation report covering November 2026 is above -50,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 0: If the U.S. two-month net payroll revision published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ initial Employment Situation report covering November 2026 is above 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 50,000: If the U.S. two-month net payroll revision published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ initial Employment Situation report covering November 2026 is above 50,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 100,000: If the U.S. two-month net payroll revision published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ initial Employment Situation report covering November 2026 is above 100,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
The underlying is the combined revision to the seasonally adjusted monthly changes in total nonfarm payroll employment for the two months immediately preceding November 2026, relative to their estimates in the immediately preceding Employment Situation release.
The two revisions will be added together, with upward revisions positive and downward revisions negative. Resolution will use the combined revision stated in the initial Employment Situation report covering November 2026; if no combined figure is stated, the two individual revisions will be summed.
Any benchmark or seasonal-adjustment effects incorporated into those two monthly revisions are included. Separate annual benchmark figures and revisions to other months are excluded.
Subsequent revisions will not affect the outcome.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 21:48:51 UTC
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Event starts2026-11-06 18:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2026-12-04 13:29:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
November 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXJOBREVISIONS-26DEC04) and then move with trading here.
US jobs revisions in the report covering November 2026
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
