Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Order book

Rules

OpenAI: If OpenAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Anthropic: If Anthropic has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Alibaba: If Alibaba has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. xAI: If xAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. DeepSeek: If DeepSeek has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Google: If Google has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Baidu: If Baidu has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Z.ai: If Z.ai has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Moonshot AI: If Moonshot AI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline

Market opened

2026-11-10 21:56:44 UTC
Event starts

2026-01-03 15:00:00 UTC
Market closes

2026-12-31 15:00:00 UTC
Payout

Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

On Dec 31, 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXCODINGMODEL-26DEC) and then move with trading here.