When will AI score above 185 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

Before Dec 1, 2026: If any AI model company records above 185 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before December 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Before Jan 1, 2027: If any AI model company records above 185 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Before Feb 1, 2027: If any AI model company records above 185 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before February 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Before Apr 1, 2027: If any AI model company records above 185 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before April 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Before Jul 1, 2027: If any AI model company records above 185 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before July 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. A qualifying score must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. The relevant score is the official, publicly displayed overall index score on https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard. The observation window begins at market issuance and ends immediately before the date stated in the market, at 12:00 AM ET. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Epoch AI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.