How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Order book

Rules

Above 120: If SpaceX has more than 120 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 140: If SpaceX has more than 140 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 145: If SpaceX has more than 145 launches in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 150: If SpaceX has more than 150 launches in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 160: If SpaceX has more than 160 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 170: If SpaceX has more than 170 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 180: If SpaceX has more than 180 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 190: If SpaceX has more than 190 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 200: If SpaceX has more than 200 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 210: If SpaceX has more than 210 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.

Timeline

Market opened

2026-11-10 21:57:47 UTC
Event starts

2025-12-09 03:00:00 UTC
Market closes

2027-01-01 15:00:00 UTC
Payout

Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

In 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B) and then move with trading here.