Tech & Science · Space
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
Order book
Rules
If SpaceX lands anything successfully on Mars before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 21:57:47 UTC
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Event starts2024-12-19 15:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2030-01-01 15:00:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before 2030 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXSPACEXMARS-30) and then move with trading here.
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
