Tech & Science · Space
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?
Order book
Rules
Before Oct 16, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Oct 30, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Nov 13, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Nov 14, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Nov 15, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Nov 27, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Dec 11, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Dec 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 21:57:49 UTC
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Event starts2026-09-29 15:30:00 UTC
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Market closes2026-12-11 04:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
SpaceX Starship (15th launch) Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-15) and then move with trading here.
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
