Tech & Science · Space

SpaceX Starship 15th launch?

$150,868 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Before Oct 16, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Before Oct 30, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Before Nov 13, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Before Nov 14, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Before Nov 15, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Before Nov 27, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Before Dec 11, 2026: If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Dec 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 21:57:49 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-09-29 15:30:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2026-12-11 04:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

SpaceX Starship (15th launch) Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-15) and then move with trading here.