Climate · Storms

Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?

$79,954 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Above 10: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 10 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 12: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 12 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 14: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 14 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 16: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 16 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 18: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 18 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 20: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 20 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 25: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 25 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 30: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 30 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 22:12:42 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-04-01 14:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2026-12-02 04:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

In 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01) and then move with trading here.