Climate · Storms
Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?
Order book
Rules
Above 10: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 10 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 12: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 12 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 14: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 14 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 16: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 16 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 18: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 18 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 20: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 20 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 25: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 25 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 30: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 30 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 22:12:42 UTC
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Event starts2026-04-01 14:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2026-12-02 04:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
In 2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01) and then move with trading here.
Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
