Elections · 2028

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

$182,898 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio: If Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom: If Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance: If Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom: If JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance: If Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear: If JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio: If Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear: If Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. AOC defeats JD Vance: If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeats JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. JD Vance defeats AOC: If JD Vance defeats Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. AOC defeats Marco Rubio: If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Marco Rubio defeats AOC: If Marco Rubio defeats Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. James Talarico defeats JD Vance: If James Talarico defeats JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. JD Vance defeats James Talarico: If JD Vance defeats James Talarico in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio: If James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico: If Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance: If Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff: If JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio: If Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff: If Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance: If Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro: If JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Josh Shapiro defeats Marco Rubio: If Josh Shapiro defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro: If Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance: If Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris: If JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Kamala Harris defeats Marco Rubio: If Kamala Harris defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris: If Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance: If Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg: If JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio: If Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg: If Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM), Presidential Winner (PRESPERSON). All conditions must be satisfied the 2028 presidential election.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 17:12:24 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-04-09 14:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2029-01-20 10:00:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

2028 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07) and then move with trading here.