Elections · 2028

Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?

$3,187 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

If a party founded by Elon Musk contests the 2028 U.S. presidential election by having at least one candidate officially on the ballot before Sep 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A party "contests" an election if they have at least one candidate on the official ballot under the party name, participate in a formal coalition on the ballot, or have officially endorsed candidates with clear party affiliation. The party does NOT contest if they only endorse other parties' candidates, announce a boycott, fail to meet ballot access requirements, or only challenge results after voting without having participated. For multi-round elections, appearing on any round's ballot counts. For federal systems, contesting in any state/province counts for the federal election. If the election is postponed but occurs within one year, the contract remains valid. If cancelled or not held within one year, the market resolves to No.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 17:13:33 UTC
  • Event starts
    2025-08-27 20:45:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2028-09-08 14:00:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

Before Sep 1, 2028 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXAMERICAPARTY2028-28SEP01) and then move with trading here.