Elections · 2028
Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Order book
Rules
If a party founded by Elon Musk contests the 2028 U.S. presidential election by having at least one candidate officially on the ballot before Sep 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A party "contests" an election if they have at least one candidate on the official ballot under the party name, participate in a formal coalition on the ballot, or have officially endorsed candidates with clear party affiliation. The party does NOT contest if they only endorse other parties' candidates, announce a boycott, fail to meet ballot access requirements, or only challenge results after voting without having participated. For multi-round elections, appearing on any round's ballot counts. For federal systems, contesting in any state/province counts for the federal election. If the election is postponed but occurs within one year, the contract remains valid. If cancelled or not held within one year, the market resolves to No.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 17:13:33 UTC
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Event starts2025-08-27 20:45:00 UTC
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Market closes2028-09-08 14:00:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Sep 1, 2028 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXAMERICAPARTY2028-28SEP01) and then move with trading here.
Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
