Elections · 2028

Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

$101,048 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

South Carolina: If South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. New Hampshire: If New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Iowa: If Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Nevada: If Nevada holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A contest counts regardless of whether the Democratic National Committee sanctions, recognizes, or gives delegate effect to it. If multiple states vote on the same day, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied states. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 17:13:44 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-07-27 17:07:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2028-04-01 03:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

Before Apr 1, 2028 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28) and then move with trading here.