Elections · 2028

Will Trump's first 2028 endorsee lose the GOP nomination?

$317 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

If the first candidate Donald Trump endorses for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination does not win the nomination at the 2028 Republican National Convention, then the market resolves to Yes. Endorsements are determined per the specifications of the ENDORSE contract. The first endorsement is Donald Trump's first qualifying endorsement of one or more people for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, made after Issuance and before the Republican Party nominates its presidential candidate. A single statement or ticket that endorses more than one person at the same time, such as a president and a vice president, counts as one first endorsement that names each of them. Later endorsements, and any later withdrawal of the first endorsement, do NOT change which endorsement was first. The Republican nominee refers to the person formally nominated for President at the 2028 Republican National Convention. If the first endorsement names more than one person, the market resolves to Yes only if none of them becomes the Republican nominee. If Donald Trump makes no qualifying endorsement before the nomination, the market resolves to No.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 17:17:16 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-11-06 00:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2028-09-30 13:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

2028 Republican nomination Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXTRUMPFIRSTENDORSE-28SEP01) and then move with trading here.