Elections · Senate
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
Order book
Rules
Chuck Schumer: If Chuck Schumer wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
John Thune: If John Thune wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Brian Schatz: If Brian Schatz wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Tom Cotton: If Tom Cotton wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Chris Van Hollen: If Chris Van Hollen wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
John Barrasso: If John Barrasso wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Elissa Slotkin: If Elissa Slotkin wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Each party’s Senate conference elects its own leader, and the leader of the party that holds Senate majority status serves as Senate Majority Leader.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 18:40:59 UTC
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Event starts2026-08-10 23:59:00 UTC
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Market closes2028-01-03 15:00:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
In 2027 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXSENMAJ-27) and then move with trading here.
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
