Elections · Senate
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
Order book
Rules
Before Jul 1, 2027: If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for Senate in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Jan 1, 2028: If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for Senate in 2028 before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Apr 1, 2028: If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for Senate in 2028 before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 18:42:36 UTC
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Event starts2025-03-18 14:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2028-04-01 14:00:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Apr 1, 2028 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXAOCSENATE-28) and then move with trading here.
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
