Elections · House

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

$11,173,433 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Below 210: If the Democratic party has below 210 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. 210-213: If the Democratic party has between 210-213 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. 214-217: If the Democratic party has between 214-217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. 218-221: If the Democratic party has between 218-221 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. 222-225: If the Democratic party has between 222-225 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. 226-229: If the Democratic party has between 226-229 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. 230-233: If the Democratic party has between 230-233 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. 234-237: If the Democratic party has between 234-237 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. 238-241: If the Democratic party has between 238-241 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. 242-245: If the Democratic party has between 242-245 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. 246-249: If the Democratic party has between 246-249 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 249: If the Democratic party has above 249 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 18:48:45 UTC
  • Event starts
    2025-12-30 15:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2027-02-01 15:00:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

On Feb 1, 2027 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXDHOUSESEATS-27) and then move with trading here.