Elections · House
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Order book
Rules
Below 210: If the Democratic party has below 210 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
210-213: If the Democratic party has between 210-213 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
214-217: If the Democratic party has between 214-217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
218-221: If the Democratic party has between 218-221 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
222-225: If the Democratic party has between 222-225 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
226-229: If the Democratic party has between 226-229 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
230-233: If the Democratic party has between 230-233 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
234-237: If the Democratic party has between 234-237 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
238-241: If the Democratic party has between 238-241 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
242-245: If the Democratic party has between 242-245 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
246-249: If the Democratic party has between 246-249 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 249: If the Democratic party has above 249 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 18:48:45 UTC
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Event starts2025-12-30 15:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2027-02-01 15:00:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
On Feb 1, 2027 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXDHOUSESEATS-27) and then move with trading here.
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
