Elections · House
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
Order book
Rules
Above 211: If the Democratic party has above 211 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 214: If the Democratic party has above 214 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 217: If the Democratic party has above 217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 220: If the Democratic party has above 220 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 223: If the Democratic party has above 223 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 226: If the Democratic party has above 226 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 229: If the Democratic party has above 229 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 232: If the Democratic party has above 232 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 235: If the Democratic party has above 235 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 238: If the Democratic party has above 238 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 241: If the Democratic party has above 241 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 244: If the Democratic party has above 244 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 247: If the Democratic party has above 247 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 250: If the Democratic party has above 250 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 253: If the Democratic party has above 253 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 256: If the Democratic party has above 256 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 259: If the Democratic party has above 259 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 262: If the Democratic party has above 262 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 265: If the Democratic party has above 265 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 268: If the Democratic party has above 268 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 271: If the Democratic party has above 271 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 274: If the Democratic party has above 274 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 277: If the Democratic party has above 277 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 18:49:13 UTC
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Event starts2026-07-07 21:17:00 UTC
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Market closes2027-02-01 15:00:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
On Feb 1, 2027 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXDHOUSESEATSDIR-27) and then move with trading here.
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
