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Elections · Referendums

What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?

$6,000 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Italy: If Italy announces that they will hold a referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. France: If France announces that they will hold a referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Hungary: If Hungary announces that they will hold a referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Greece: If Greece announces that they will hold a referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 18:57:52 UTC
  • Event starts
    2025-02-26 15:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2030-01-01 15:00:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

Before 2030 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXEUREF-30) and then move with trading here.