Politics · AI
How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
Order book
Rules
At least 1: If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 1 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 2: If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 2 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 3: If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 3 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 4: If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 4 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 5: If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 5 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
At least 10: If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 10 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
Each article of impeachment against Donald Trump that the House of Representatives adopts counts as one, whether it is adopted alone, together with other articles in one resolution, or in a separate impeachment.
Does NOT count:
An article that is introduced, referred to committee, tabled or otherwise not adopted by the House
Donald Trump must be in office as President when the article is adopted.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 19:02:40 UTC
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Event starts2026-10-06 02:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2029-01-21 13:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Jan 20, 2029 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXTRUMPIMPEACHARTICLES-29JAN20) and then move with trading here.
How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
