Will Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes?

Before Jan 1, 2027: If the Brazilian Senate votes to open impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Before Mar 1, 2027: If the Brazilian Senate votes to open impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. The Brazilian Senate opens impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes when its plenary votes to approve, as admissible, an impeachment complaint (denúncia por crime de responsabilidade) against him. The Senate's officially announced result controls, whatever vote threshold it applies; a later court decision suspending or annulling an approved vote does not change the outcome. The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: The Senate President receiving, reading, accepting or forwarding a complaint, or declining to act on one A vote or report by a Senate committee or special committee without plenary approval A plenary vote that rejects the complaint or archives it A vote in the Chamber of Deputies, a parliamentary inquiry (CPI), or an investigation or proceeding at the Supreme Federal Court