Politics · AI
Will DOJ sue a major grocery retailer over beef prices?
Order book
Rules
If the U.S. Department of Justice's filing of a civil antitrust complaint against any listed grocery retailer in its beef-affordability investigation is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency that A) explicitly states the U.S. Department of Justice filed the qualifying civil antitrust complaint, B) is based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) is presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
The listed retailers are Aldi Inc., Amazon.com, Inc., Ahold Delhaize USA, Inc., Albertsons Companies, Inc., Costco Wholesale Corporation, The Kroger Co., Publix Super Markets, Inc., and Walmart, Inc. A complaint naming at least one listed retailer qualifies. An investigative demand, subpoena, preservation request, investigation announcement, settlement without a qualifying complaint, or complaint naming only a meat processor or another party does NOT qualify.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 19:06:34 UTC
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Event starts2026-09-02 23:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Jan 1, 2027 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXDOJBEEFACTION-27JAN01) and then move with trading here.
Will DOJ sue a major grocery retailer over beef prices?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
