Politics · Congress
Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?
Order book
Rules
Above 95: If the total count of U.S. Congress members (including non-voting delegates) officially listed as members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus is above 95 on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 97: If the total count of U.S. Congress members (including non-voting delegates) officially listed as members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus is above 97 on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 100: If the total count of U.S. Congress members (including non-voting delegates) officially listed as members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus is above 100 on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 105: If the total count of U.S. Congress members (including non-voting delegates) officially listed as members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus is above 105 on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 107: If the total count of U.S. Congress members (including non-voting delegates) officially listed as members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus is above 107 on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 110: If the total count of U.S. Congress members (including non-voting delegates) officially listed as members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus is above 110 on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Above 115: If the total count of U.S. Congress members (including non-voting delegates) officially listed as members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus is above 115 on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 19:17:38 UTC
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Event starts2026-06-25 21:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2027-02-01 14:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
on Feb 1, 2027 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXCPCSIZE-27FEB01) and then move with trading here.
Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
