Politics · Congress
Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?
Order book
Rules
Before Jan 1, 2027: If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Jul 1, 2027: If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Jan 1, 2028: If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Jan 20, 2029: If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Statements must be clear, unambiguous, and current. This includes any of the following:
Introducing articles of impeachment (if applicable)
Co-sponsoring articles of impeachment (if applicable)
Voting for articles of impeachment (if applicable)
Clear, unambiguous, and explicit statements supporting impeachment such as "the person supports impeachment of the President" or "the person believes the President should be impeached"
Posts on official social media accounts, press releases, or legislative websites expressing that impeachment should proceed. The call for impeachment is still encompassed by the Payout Criterion even if subsequently retracted.
The following do NOT qualify:
Vague or implicit references that do not clearly advocate for impeachment, such as expressions of concern or dissatisfaction with presidential conduct that do not explicitly mention impeachment
Statements criticizing the President's actions or policies, statements of process or neutrality, e.g., "Let's wait for the investigation" or "The House should explore impeachment" without a personal endorsement
Statements contingent on future events, such as "If X happens, then I will support impeachment" or "We may need to consider impeachment if more evidence emerges"
Statements made prior to Issuance, and "likes" or "retweets" on social media of other individuals calling for impeachment without additional commentary
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 19:18:41 UTC
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Event starts2025-12-03 23:30:00 UTC
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Market closes2029-01-20 04:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Jan 20, 2029 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXCALLIMPEACHRCONGRESS-26) and then move with trading here.
Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
