Politics · Congress
When will Trump first veto a 120th Congress bill?
Order book
Rules
Before Mar 1, 2027: If Trump's veto of a 120th Congress bill or joint resolution is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Apr 1, 2027: If Trump's veto of a 120th Congress bill or joint resolution is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Jul 1, 2027: If Trump's veto of a 120th Congress bill or joint resolution is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Jan 1, 2028: If Trump's veto of a 120th Congress bill or joint resolution is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states <event claim> occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or
evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
A pocket veto counts. A veto of a bill or joint resolution passed by the 119th Congress does NOT count, even if made on or after Jan 3, 2027.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 19:30:47 UTC
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Event starts2026-11-07 05:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2028-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Jan 1, 2028 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXFIRSTVETO120-28) and then move with trading here.
When will Trump first veto a 120th Congress bill?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
